Ron Estes’s disclosed stock trades — and what copying them returned

Ron Estes (House) has disclosed 11 stock trades under the STOCK Act, from Mar 9, 2022 to Sep 30, 20225 buys and 6 sells, read straight from the official filings. The median gap between a trade and the public finding out was 20 days — which is why every number below starts at the disclosure date, the earliest day anyone could actually have copied a trade.

What copying every disclosed buy would have returned

Our engine bought at the first opening price after each of Ron Estes’s disclosed purchases became public, held until the matching sale was disclosed, and marked the book against simply holding the S&P 500 over the same window (Mar 10, 2022Aug 11, 2026). Fees on, position sizes equal — a filing never discloses the real amount, only a band.

Copy-return, total+92.6%
S&P 500 over the same window+92.6%
Difference-0.1%
Annualized over 4.4 years+16.0% vs +16.0% -0.0% a year against the index
Deepest fall along the way-21.9%
Positions that closed ahead25%
Disclosed buys / actually copied5 / 4

Read the fill count before the return: a figure built on a handful of copied positions is an anecdote, whatever it says. And a copy-return is not Ron Estes’s own return — the disclosure lag means a copier never got their entry price.

Most-traded tickers

WFC (2) · CVX (2) · VZ (2) · SPR (2) · HON (2) · MRVL (1)

Recent filings

The latest 11 disclosed trades, newest filing first. Both dates are shown because the gap between them is the whole story.

TickerTypeTradedDisclosedLagAmount band
MRVLSellSep 27, 2022Sep 30, 20223d$1,001 - $15,000
WFCSellJul 5, 2022Aug 1, 202227d$1,001 - $15,000
CVXSellJul 19, 2022Aug 1, 202213d$1,001 - $15,000
VZSellJul 12, 2022Aug 1, 202220d$1,001 - $15,000
SPRSellJul 5, 2022Aug 1, 202227d$1,001 - $15,000
HONSellMay 31, 2022Jun 3, 20223d$15,001 - $50,000
VZBuyFeb 16, 2022Mar 9, 202221d$1,001 - $15,000
CVXBuyFeb 10, 2022Mar 9, 202227d$1,001 - $15,000
WFCBuyFeb 16, 2022Mar 9, 202221d$1,001 - $15,000
SPRBuyMar 4, 2022Mar 9, 20225d$1,001 - $15,000
HONBuyMar 4, 2022Mar 9, 20225d$15,001 - $50,000

Full history, sorting and the CSV export live in Pulse. Open Congress in Pulse.

Hear about the next filing the day it lands

A filing is only useful in the days after it appears — exactly when nobody is watching the disclosure sites. Follow Ron Estes in Pulse and you get an email as soon as their next report is parsed: the trades in it, both dates, and how long they sat on it.

See plans All members and how the ranking works

Entries are at the first open AFTER the disclosure date — the earliest any copier could act. The member's own entry was up to 45 days earlier. Disclosed amounts are bands, not sizes; every position is sized at your chosen % of portfolio, which is not how the member sized it. Option purchases are copied as the underlying shares. A filing discloses no strike and no expiry, so an option cannot be mirrored — buying the stock is the closest a reader could get. It is 1.6% of all disclosed buys, but for some members it is a quarter to a half of everything they file, so their figure describes copying the filing rather than what the position itself did. Dividends are treated as reinvested (adjusted closes). Fees and taxes are not modeled. Positions are sized from equity at the time of each entry, so gains compound into later position sizes and most of the account sits in cash between filings. Read the drawdown next to the exposure figures: a portfolio that is mostly cash shows a small whole-portfolio drawdown even when its holdings fell hard. Absolute returns are model outputs, not achievable returns. Past disclosures are no promise of future filings — members stop trading, leave office, or file late in batches.