Peter Welch’s disclosed stock trades — and what copying them returned

Peter Welch (House) has disclosed 56 stock trades under the STOCK Act, from May 8, 2018 to Aug 13, 202219 buys and 37 sells, read straight from the official filings. The median gap between a trade and the public finding out was 29 days — which is why every number below starts at the disclosure date, the earliest day anyone could actually have copied a trade.

What copying every disclosed buy would have returned

Our engine bought at the first opening price after each of Peter Welch’s disclosed purchases became public, held until the matching sale was disclosed, and marked the book against simply holding the S&P 500 over the same window (Aug 6, 2018Aug 11, 2026). Fees on, position sizes equal — a filing never discloses the real amount, only a band.

Copy-return, total+203.9%
S&P 500 over the same window+206.0%
Difference-2.1%
Annualized over 8 years+14.9% vs +15.0% -0.1% a year against the index
Deepest fall along the way-33.9%
Positions that closed ahead65%
Disclosed buys / actually copied19 / 17

Read the fill count before the return: a figure built on a handful of copied positions is an anecdote, whatever it says. And a copy-return is not Peter Welch’s own return — the disclosure lag means a copier never got their entry price.

Most-traded tickers

IWM (5) · STT (4) · CERN (3) · SPSC (3) · FSLR (3) · ED (3) · LNN (3) · VAIAF (2) · TNC (2) · MITK (2)

Recent filings

The latest 50 disclosed trades, newest filing first. Both dates are shown because the gap between them is the whole story.

TickerTypeTradedDisclosedLagAmount band
VAIAFBuyJul 16, 2019Aug 13, 20221124d$1,001 - $15,000
KYOCFSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$1,001 - $15,000
UNPSellNov 26, 2021Dec 17, 202121d$15,001 - $50,000
CSCOSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$15,001 - $50,000
CERNSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$1,001 - $15,000
ASellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$1,001 - $15,000
VAIAFSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$15,001 - $50,000
UNSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$15,001 - $50,000
TNCSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$1,001 - $15,000
MITKSellNov 18, 2021Dec 17, 202129d$1,001 - $15,000
WFCSellNov 3, 2021Dec 3, 202130d$1,001 - $15,000
CTRCFSellNov 26, 2020Dec 4, 20208d$1,001 - $15,000
UPSSellNov 16, 2020Dec 4, 202018d$1,001 - $15,000
SPSCSellMay 19, 2020Jun 8, 202020d$1,001 - $15,000
SPSCPartial sellMay 8, 2020Jun 8, 202031d$1,001 - $15,000
FSLRSellApr 30, 2020May 5, 20205d$1,001 - $15,000
SCHWSellApr 9, 2020May 5, 202026d$1,001 - $15,000
MDTBuyMar 9, 2020Apr 10, 202032d$1,001 - $15,000
PYPLBuyMar 20, 2020Apr 10, 202021d$1,001 - $15,000
FTDRSellMar 16, 2020Apr 10, 202025d$1,001 - $15,000
MDTSellApr 3, 2020Apr 10, 20207d$1,001 - $15,000
EDBuyMar 2, 2020Apr 3, 202032d$1,001 - $15,000
EDPartial sellMar 13, 2020Apr 3, 202021d$1,001 - $15,000
EDSellMar 17, 2020Apr 3, 202017d$1,001 - $15,000
CTRCFBuyFeb 7, 2020Mar 10, 202032d$1,001 - $15,000
FTDRBuyFeb 19, 2020Mar 10, 202020d$1,001 - $15,000
CHDBuyFeb 28, 2020Mar 10, 202011d$1,001 - $15,000
MDRXSellOct 11, 2019Nov 14, 201934d$1,001 - $15,000
UPSPartial sellSep 16, 2019Oct 14, 201928d$1,001 - $15,000
IWMBuySep 11, 2019Oct 14, 201933d$1,001 - $15,000
LNNSellSep 12, 2019Oct 14, 201932d$1,001 - $15,000
IWMSellSep 27, 2019Oct 14, 201917d$1,001 - $15,000
IWMBuyAug 1, 2019Sep 1, 201931d$1,001 - $15,000
IWMSellAug 12, 2019Sep 1, 201920d$1,001 - $15,000
IWMPartial sellJun 20, 2019Jul 9, 201919d$1,001 - $15,000
TNCBuyMay 6, 2019Jun 4, 201929d$1,001 - $15,000
MITKBuyMay 2, 2019Jun 4, 201933d$1,001 - $15,000
SPSCBuyMay 1, 2019Jun 4, 201934d$1,001 - $15,000
STTSellApr 22, 2018May 3, 2019376d$1,001 - $15,000
CERNSellApr 25, 2018May 3, 2019373d$1,001 - $15,000
FDXSellApr 17, 2018May 3, 2019381d$1,001 - $15,000
MDRXBuyJan 9, 2019Feb 7, 201929d$1,001 - $15,000
STTSellJan 18, 2019Feb 7, 201920d$1,001 - $15,000
SCHWBuyDec 28, 2018Jan 9, 201912d$1,001 - $15,000
FSLRBuyDec 18, 2018Jan 9, 201922d$1,001 - $15,000
STTBuyNov 15, 2018Dec 5, 201820d$1,001 - $15,000
LNNSellNov 5, 2018Dec 5, 201830d$1,001 - $15,000
FDXBuySep 18, 2018Oct 5, 201817d$1,001 - $15,000
STTBuyJul 19, 2018Aug 3, 201815d$1,001 - $15,000
CERNBuyJun 7, 2018Jul 6, 201829d$1,001 - $15,000

Full history, sorting and the CSV export live in Pulse. Open Congress in Pulse.

Hear about the next filing the day it lands

A filing is only useful in the days after it appears — exactly when nobody is watching the disclosure sites. Follow Peter Welch in Pulse and you get an email as soon as their next report is parsed: the trades in it, both dates, and how long they sat on it.

See plans All members and how the ranking works

Entries are at the first open AFTER the disclosure date — the earliest any copier could act. The member's own entry was up to 45 days earlier. Disclosed amounts are bands, not sizes; every position is sized at your chosen % of portfolio, which is not how the member sized it. Option purchases are copied as the underlying shares. A filing discloses no strike and no expiry, so an option cannot be mirrored — buying the stock is the closest a reader could get. It is 1.6% of all disclosed buys, but for some members it is a quarter to a half of everything they file, so their figure describes copying the filing rather than what the position itself did. Dividends are treated as reinvested (adjusted closes). Fees and taxes are not modeled. Positions are sized from equity at the time of each entry, so gains compound into later position sizes and most of the account sits in cash between filings. Read the drawdown next to the exposure figures: a portfolio that is mostly cash shows a small whole-portfolio drawdown even when its holdings fell hard. Absolute returns are model outputs, not achievable returns. Past disclosures are no promise of future filings — members stop trading, leave office, or file late in batches.