Michael G. Fitzpatrick’s disclosed stock trades, and what copying them returned

RRepublican · PA · House

Every trade Michael G. Fitzpatrick has disclosed under the STOCK Act, read straight from the official filings.

16Disclosed trades
7Buys
9Sells
27dMedian disclosure lag

Jan 13, 2014 – May 8, 2015. You cannot trade when they traded, so every number below starts at the disclosure date, the earliest anyone could have copied it.

Before you scroll: did copying Michael G. Fitzpatrick actually beat the S&P 500?

Buying at the first open after each filing went public, the earliest a copier could act.

Run it yourself

The figures above copy every disclosed buy, sized between 1% and 20% of the account by how big that filing was for them. Change the rules and see what happens.

These are the ranking’s own rules, so an untouched run reproduces the figures above. Change one and the run is yours. One member at a time; combining several into a basket is part of Pulse.

Think you can do better?

Copying Michael G. Fitzpatrick compounded at +13.8% a year, against +13.8% a year for the S&P 500 over the same trades, 0.0 points a year ahead. Beat it with any strategy, on any ticker.

Try to beat Fitzpatrick

Most-traded tickers

COV (2) · DD (1) · MET (1) · GIS (1) · HON (1) · CVX (1) · PNR (1) · CAG (1) · WFC (1) · IVW (1)

Michael G. Fitzpatrick

Backtest in Pulse
Disclosures
16
Buys
7
Sells
9
Last filing
May 8, 2015
Copying every disclosed buy, 1–20% per trade by their own conviction, idle cash in SPY
Return/yrvs S&P/yrCopiedYears
Copying the filings+13.8%+0.0%6/712.7
What they got+14.0%+0.0%6/712.8
Worst fall 33.7% · win rate 67%. Both rows use the same 1% sizing and buy at the day’s open, only the entry date differs. Their real position sizes are never disclosed, only bands, so “what they got” is their timing, not their account.
The latest 10 disclosed trades, newest filing first, amounts are the statutory bands, not exact sizes
TickerSideOwnerAmountTradedDisclosedLag
DDSellSelf$1,001 - $15,000Apr 10, 2015May 8, 201528d
METBuySelf$1,001 - $15,000Jan 27, 2015Feb 19, 201523d
GISSellSelf$1,001 - $15,000Jan 27, 2015Feb 19, 201523d
HONmirrorBuySelf$1,001 - $15,000Oct 15, 2014Nov 6, 201422d
CVXmirrorSellSelf$1,001 - $15,000Sep 19, 2014Oct 7, 201418d
COVmirrorSellSelf$1,001 - $15,000Aug 7, 2014Sep 5, 201429d
PNRmirrorBuySelf$1,001 - $15,000Jun 4, 2014Jul 8, 201434d
CAGmirrorSellSelf$1,001 - $15,000Jun 4, 2014Jul 8, 201434d
COVmirrorBuySelf$1,001 - $15,000Mar 20, 2014Apr 5, 201416d
WFCmirrorBuySelf$1,001 - $15,000Feb 21, 2014Mar 6, 201413d
6 earlier filings , the full history, sorting, backtests and the CSV export are part of Pulse.See plans

This page updates as Michael G. Fitzpatrick files, a shared link always shows the current record, not a snapshot.

Hear about the next filing the day it lands

A filing is only useful in the days after it appears, exactly when nobody is watching the disclosure sites. Follow Michael G. Fitzpatrick in Pulse and you get an email as soon as their next report is parsed: the trades in it, both dates, and how long they sat on it.

See plans All members and how the ranking works

Entries are at the first open AFTER the disclosure date, the earliest any copier could act. The member's own entry was up to 45 days earlier. Disclosed amounts are bands, not sizes. Conviction sizing reads only where a band RANKS against the member's own earlier filings (a bigger-than-usual one takes a bigger slice of your portfolio, up to the ceiling you chose), so the run follows how hard they went in relative to themselves, never the dollars they actually committed or what those dollars were to them. Option purchases are copied as the underlying shares. A filing discloses no strike and no expiry, so an option cannot be mirrored; buying the stock is the closest a reader could get. It is 1.6% of all disclosed buys, but for some members it is a quarter to a half of everything they file, so their figure describes copying the filing rather than what the position itself did. Dividends are treated as reinvested (adjusted closes). Fees and taxes are not modeled. Positions are sized from equity at the time of each entry, so gains compound into later position sizes and only part of the account is in the member's positions at any time, the rest tracking the S&P 500. Read the drawdown next to the exposure figures: a portfolio holding only part of its equity in those positions shows a small whole-portfolio drawdown even when its holdings fell hard. Absolute returns are model outputs, not achievable returns. Past disclosures are no promise of future filings: members stop trading, leave office, or file late in batches.