Carlos Curbelo’s disclosed stock trades — and what copying them returned

Carlos Curbelo (House) has disclosed 182 stock trades under the STOCK Act, from Sep 9, 2015 to Sep 25, 2018108 buys and 71 sells, read straight from the official filings. The median gap between a trade and the public finding out was 28 days — which is why every number below starts at the disclosure date, the earliest day anyone could actually have copied a trade.

What copying every disclosed buy would have returned

Our engine bought at the first opening price after each of Carlos Curbelo’s disclosed purchases became public, held until the matching sale was disclosed, and marked the book against simply holding the S&P 500 over the same window (Sep 10, 2015Aug 11, 2026). Fees on, position sizes equal — a filing never discloses the real amount, only a band.

Copy-return, total+348.8%
S&P 500 over the same window+372.3%
Difference-23.5%
Annualized over 10.9 years+14.7% vs +15.3% -0.5% a year against the index
Deepest fall along the way-33.7%
Positions that closed ahead59%
Disclosed buys / actually copied108 / 92

Read the fill count before the return: a figure built on a handful of copied positions is an anecdote, whatever it says. And a copy-return is not Carlos Curbelo’s own return — the disclosure lag means a copier never got their entry price.

Most-traded tickers

FB (9) · CMBS (7) · IJR (6) · MMP (6) · PBR (6) · XLE (5) · NKE (5) · UTX (4) · RHT (4) · V (4)

Recent filings

The latest 50 disclosed trades, newest filing first. Both dates are shown because the gap between them is the whole story.

TickerTypeTradedDisclosedLagAmount band
EMLCSellAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
UTXBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
FTIBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
SCIBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
IJRBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
ICEBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
HIIBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
TJXBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
SLBBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
RHTBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
LIIBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
JPMSellAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
QQQBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
FLEXBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
ECLBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
CNCBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
UNHBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
TRIPBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
SSNCBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
SEEBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
PHBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
NTRSBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
MSFTSellAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
MKCBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
KSUBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
VLUESellAug 8, 2018Sep 25, 201848d$1,001 - $15,000
IJRSellAug 8, 2018Sep 25, 201848d$1,001 - $15,000
IFFBuyAug 29, 2018Sep 25, 201827d$1,001 - $15,000
INTCSellAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
HSICBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
FTNTBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
FBSellAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
CLBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
BLKBuyAug 28, 2018Sep 25, 201828d$1,001 - $15,000
EMLCBuyApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
XLFSellApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
BMYBuyApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
VBuyApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
UNPBuyApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
XLESellApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
MSFTBuyApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$1,001 - $15,000
VLUEBuyApr 6, 2018Aug 2, 2018118d$15,001 - $50,000
BMYSellJun 8, 2018Aug 2, 201855d$1,001 - $15,000
BUDSellJun 8, 2018Aug 2, 201855d$1,001 - $15,000
TJXSellOct 10, 2017Aug 1, 2018295d$1,001 - $15,000
IWFSellFeb 6, 2018Mar 27, 201849d$15,001 - $50,000
IJRBuyFeb 20, 2018Mar 27, 201835d$1,001 - $15,000
FBSellFeb 6, 2018Mar 27, 201849d$1,001 - $15,000
IWFBuyFeb 20, 2018Mar 27, 201835d$15,001 - $50,000
IJRSellFeb 6, 2018Mar 27, 201849d$1,001 - $15,000

Full history, sorting and the CSV export live in Pulse. Open Congress in Pulse.

Hear about the next filing the day it lands

A filing is only useful in the days after it appears — exactly when nobody is watching the disclosure sites. Follow Carlos Curbelo in Pulse and you get an email as soon as their next report is parsed: the trades in it, both dates, and how long they sat on it.

See plans All members and how the ranking works

Entries are at the first open AFTER the disclosure date — the earliest any copier could act. The member's own entry was up to 45 days earlier. Disclosed amounts are bands, not sizes; every position is sized at your chosen % of portfolio, which is not how the member sized it. Option purchases are copied as the underlying shares. A filing discloses no strike and no expiry, so an option cannot be mirrored — buying the stock is the closest a reader could get. It is 1.6% of all disclosed buys, but for some members it is a quarter to a half of everything they file, so their figure describes copying the filing rather than what the position itself did. Dividends are treated as reinvested (adjusted closes). Fees and taxes are not modeled. Positions are sized from equity at the time of each entry, so gains compound into later position sizes and most of the account sits in cash between filings. Read the drawdown next to the exposure figures: a portfolio that is mostly cash shows a small whole-portfolio drawdown even when its holdings fell hard. Absolute returns are model outputs, not achievable returns. Past disclosures are no promise of future filings — members stop trading, leave office, or file late in batches.